Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 6.585697 7.219151 7.903699 8.701303 9.608701 10.613106 11.814809
2026-02-01 5.646507 6.475966 7.428361 8.612604 10.059381 11.787409 14.035055
2026-02-08 5.046674 5.962894 7.058309 8.482395 10.311686 12.620596 15.818411
2026-02-15 4.585862 5.544338 6.726937 8.319684 10.450539 13.266119 17.380153
2026-02-22 4.268244 5.263143 6.524596 8.277172 10.708722 14.058753 19.205015
2026-03-01 3.919882 4.908743 6.189736 8.014136 10.621004 14.338398 20.294784
2026-03-08 3.582151 4.541641 5.806264 7.644083 10.334666 14.283491 20.841808
2026-03-15 3.368676 4.324967 5.607804 7.511273 10.369342 14.693397 22.156965
2026-03-22 3.412641 4.458822 5.897398 8.095898 11.519287 16.934095 26.834753
2026-03-29 3.324435 4.400767 5.908576 8.265194 12.039284 18.220916 30.059825
2026-04-05 3.145459 4.202653 5.703395 8.087123 11.983301 18.531119 31.515001
2026-04-12 3.060407 4.134441 5.683424 8.192113 12.395681 19.687734 34.792624
2026-04-19 2.909815 3.966888 5.511478 8.053913 12.403996 20.156975 36.837010
2026-04-26 2.782441 3.827502 5.374503 7.962521 12.485045 20.771156 39.315054
2026-05-03 2.659719 3.688502 5.229430 7.845698 12.507282 21.270827 41.629880
2026-05-10 2.539704 3.547694 5.073482 7.698837 12.459998 21.625048 43.673453
2026-05-17 2.452757 3.453337 4.985417 7.660461 12.607479 22.385629 46.861897
2026-05-24 2.329066 3.296653 4.789770 7.422862 12.357915 22.292588 47.863966
2026-05-31 2.192799 3.115278 4.546528 7.088172 11.896930 21.703764 47.455551
2026-06-07 2.108922 3.013237 4.428098 6.967929 11.844333 21.993688 49.504054
2026-06-14 2.158017 3.123542 4.663268 7.496743 13.125702 25.417651 61.390188
2026-06-21 2.131832 3.111296 4.692526 7.649646 13.657370 27.204443 68.998006
2026-06-28 2.050406 3.005942 4.558876 7.488815 13.515373 27.350465 71.331519